Tajikistan
With a cumulative score of 0.84, Tajikistan ranks number 96 among emerging markets and number 125 in the global ranking.
- Emerging markets
- Asia-Pacific
0.93 / 5
Power score
0.94 / 5
Transport score
0.46 / 5
Buildings score
Low-carbon strategy
Net-zero goal and strategy
Tajikistan aims to reach 10% of electricity from renewable energy sources by 2030.
Nationally Determined Contributions (NDC)
Tajikistan's unconditional contribution (NDC) to reduce emissions is not to exceed 60-70% of greenhouse gas emissions by 2030, on 1990 levels, while its conditional contribution is not to exceed 50-60% greenhouse gas emissions by 2030, on 1990 levels. The latter is subject to significant international funding and technology transfer.
Fossil fuel phase-out policy
There is no fossil fuel phase-out policy in Tajikistan.
Power
Power policy
Tajikistan submitted a renewable energy target in 2020 calling for wider use of solar, wind, biomass, small hydro, and geothermal sources, particularly for remote areas of the country. Its 2009-2020 long-term plan for building small hydropower plants targets 103MW by 2020. There are also talks to implement a feed-in tariff in the next few years in order to enhance the commercial viability of small hydropower in Tajikistan. Renewable energy investors are also granted tax exemptions in the country. However, while the small hydro capacity target is within reach, the 2030 target remains far off as only 1% of power was generated from renewable energy sources other than large hydro in 2019.
Power policies
Power prices and costs
Similar to most former Soviet Union countries, Tajikistan offers low power prices due to government subsidies. The government has slightly adjusted rates in recent years in an effort to improve the financial health of its main energy company, Barqi Tojik, but not all tariffs have increased.
Tajikistan has not seen any serious investment in renewable energy, with the last deal dating back to 2015. The government has called for the construction of small hydro plants and other sources of clean power, but no renewables capacity aside from small hydro has yet come online. The Asian Development Bank approved a $10 million grant in 2013 to support household uptake of clean energy, while Pamir Energy, a public-private partnership company, is investing in small hydro projects in rural regions of Tajikistan.
Power market
Barqi Tojik, a vertically integrated state-owned utility, dominates Tajikistan’s power sector. Despite its strong market position, the utility is in poor financial health due to low subsidized tariffs, losses on transmission and distribution services, and poor collection rates. The government has granted Pamir Energy authority to generate power, provide transmission and distribution infrastructure and sell to retail consumers in one remote region, but Barqi Tojik acts as the utility for more than 95% of the country’s population. Industrial players consume most of Tajikistan’s power.
Installed Capacity (in MW)
Electricity Generation (in GWh)
Utility privatisation
Which segments of the power sector are open to private participation?
Wholesale power market
Does the country have a wholesale power market?
Doing business and barriers
Peak power demand has increased moderately in recent years. Despite its near 100% electrification rate, Tajikistan suffers from power reliability issues due to its dependence on large hydropower plants, most of which are operating beyond their intended operating life.
There are numerous barriers to renewable energy development in Tajikistan, and market growth beyond the government’s goals remains unlikely. While some policies have been introduced to support the renewables industry, the country does not have a feed-in tariff or auctions program. In addition to Tajikistan’s isolation, there are other barriers such as the high cost of credit and the lack of interest from foreign developers.
Currency of PPAs
Are PPAs signed in or indexed to U.S. Dollars or Euro?
Bilateral power contracts
Can a C&I (Commercial and Industrial) customer sign a long-term contract (PPA) for clean energy?
Bilateral power contracts
Can a C&I (Commercial and Industrial) customer sign a long-term contract (PPA) for clean energy?
Bilateral power contracts
Can a C&I (Commercial and Industrial) customer sign a long-term contract (PPA) for clean energy?
Fossil fuel subsidies
Does the government influence the wholesale price of fossil fuel (used by thermal power plants) down through subsidies?
Fossil fuel taxes
Does the government influence the wholesale price of fossil fuel (used by thermal power plants) up through taxes?
Transport
EV market
The government has yet to implement any substantial policy support in this sector and the EV market remains at an early stage.
EV policy
The government has yet to implement any substantial policy support in this sector and the EV market remains at an early stage.
Transport policies
Fuel economy standards
Does the country have a fuel economy standard in place?
Buildings
Buildings market
The government has yet to implement any substantial policy support in this sector and the low-carbon heat market remains at an early stage.
Energy performance standards
Are there minimum energy performance standards for buildings?
Energy efficiency plan
Does the country have a national energy efficiency plan?
Buildings policy
The government has yet to implement any substantial policy support in this sector and the low-carbon heat market remains at an early stage.
