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Madagascar

With a cumulative score of 1.5, Madagascar ranks number 49 among emerging markets and number 78 in the global ranking.

  • Emerging markets
  • Middle East & Africa

1.70 / 5

Power score


1.03 / 5

Transport score


 

Buildings score


Only 56 markets (28 emerging markets) are scored on the Buildings sector. See the full list on the methodology page.


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Low-carbon strategy

Net-zero goal and strategy

Madagascar does not have a net-zero target or strategy in place.

Nationally Determined Contributions (NDC)

The country’s ‘nationally determined contribution’ (NDC) – meaning its plan to help achieve the goals of the Paris Agreement – aims to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 14% from 2000 levels by 2030 versus a business-as-usual scenario. The sectors being targeted for mitigation are energy, agriculture, waste, and land use.

Fossil fuel phase-out policy

Madagascar does not have a fossil fuel phase-out policy.

Power

Power policy

Madagascar does not have a legislated clean energy target, although it is aiming for 85% of power generation to come from renewables by 2030, consisting of 75% hydro, 5% solar and 5% wind. The country’s current electricity generation mix comprises 26 megawatts (MW) from biomass, 790MW from small hydro plants, 1,039MW from oil and diesel sources, 30MW from natural gas and 15MW from solar PV.

The government is looking to install around 100MW of new renewables over the period 2015-2030. In 2018, a 20MW solar project was commissioned by state-owned utility Jirama and the government held a tender for 25MW of solar with storage supported by the World Bank's Scaling Solar program. These are the most tangible signs of progress towards the country’s renewables target. While the government can hold tenders for energy projects under the 2017 Electricity Code, no new auctions have been held since the solar PV tender in 2018.

The country is trying to encourage private sector investment in renewables capacity. It has eliminated import tariffs and VAT on solar PV, and capital investment in equipment (with the exception of buildings) can also be depreciated at an accelerated rate of 30% of the net value.

The government wants to prioritize energy access for all. At present, Madagascar’s electrification rate is about 69% in urban areas and just 9% in rural areas. The National Strategy of Electrification (NSE) is currently under development as a continuation of the National Energy Policy (“Nouvelle Politique de l’Energie”, NPE) introduced in 2015. The 2015-2030 NPE is extremely ambitious and aims for 70% of the population to have access to electricity and modern lighting by 2030. It considers a pathway in which 70% of electrification will be through grid extension, 20% through mini-grids and 10% will be served via individual off-grid solutions. As announced in March 2019, Madagascar is also working with the World Bank to bring electricity access to a minimum of 1.7 million people by the end of 2023.

Power policies

Renewable energy auction
Feed-in Tariff
Import tax incentives
Net Metering
Renewable energy target
VAT incentives

Power prices and costs

There are no time-based tariffs in Madagascar. Tariffs and their structuring applied in electrification projects must be reviewed by the regulator and take into account the income of the population they will serve. In most cases, this means that development funding or government support is required to fill the gap between the cost of systems and what can be recovered from users.

The direct retail of electricity to industrial and commercial users can be priced bilaterally. The government also subsidizes electricity through the subsidy of fuel.

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Power market

Independent power producers (IPPs) in Madagascar can sell their electricity to state utility Jirama, which is the sole offtaker for the main grid. However, in the private market, IPPs represent just 6.5% of electricity production in Madagascar, and the remainder is accounted for by private suppliers in rural areas.

The country’s power sector has been opened up to IPPs for over a decade and there is a clear intention to attract more private and international investment. Independent producer CrossBoundary Energy is set to build a renewable energy plant in 2022 – comprising 8MW of solar, 12MW of wind and 8.25MW of battery storage – and has signed a 20-year corporate PPA with Rio Tinto to power its QMM ilmenite mine.

The retail of electricity can also be done by independent companies through direct sales or within rural electrification concessions, however, experience in this segment remains limited.

Installed Capacity (in MW)

2012201420162018202002004006008001K MW

Electricity Generation (in GWh)

2012201420162018202005001K1.5K2K GWh
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Utility privatisation

Which segments of the power sector are open to private participation?


Generation
Transmission
Retail

Wholesale power market

Does the country have a wholesale power market?


Available
Not available

Doing business and barriers

Navigating administrative processes and land acquisition can be difficult and lengthy in Madagascar. Moreover, access to financing is generally complicated. The quality of the grid can also cause issues for larger projects, which is why most PV developers are encouraged to not only include storage in their projects, but also to finance their own connection to the grid. While the Rural Electrification Development Agency (ADER) and the Board of Electricity Regulation (ORE) monitor and enforce clear rules on grid interconnections, there is currently no publicly available data on grid extensions to help developers plan for the medium to long-term

Owing to difficulties in collecting tariff payments, companies in Madagascar’s utility sector – including public ones – are heavily indebted. Jirama, which is the sole off-taker on the main grid, is under considerable financial stress and generators have been paid in treasury bonds. The budget gap covered by the government to support social retail tariffs and high fuel import bills doubled from 2009 to 2014, reaching $150 million despite lower energy commodity prices at the time. The growth of renewables in the mix should improve the financial health of Jirama.

The main obstacle to retailing off-grid electrification products continues to be the low income of the target population. There are also administrative barriers. According to the 2017 Electricity Code, distributors of PV equipment under 10 kilowatts (kW) must fill out a simplified declaration form on behalf of their customers and submit it to the Authority for Power Regulation (ARE). For PV installations between 10-150kW, they must fill out a proper declaration form and submit an environmental impact assessment.

There are no concrete plans to overhaul the electricity industry in the foreseeable future.

Currency of PPAs

Are PPAs signed in or indexed to U.S. Dollars or Euro?


Available
Not available

Bilateral power contracts

Can a C&I (Commercial and Industrial) customer sign a long-term contract (PPA) for clean energy?


Available
Not available

Bilateral power contracts

Can a C&I (Commercial and Industrial) customer sign a long-term contract (PPA) for clean energy?


Available
Not available

Bilateral power contracts

Can a C&I (Commercial and Industrial) customer sign a long-term contract (PPA) for clean energy?


Available
Not available

Fossil fuel subsidies

Does the government influence the wholesale price of fossil fuel (used by thermal power plants) down through subsidies?


Available
Not available

Fossil fuel taxes

Does the government influence the wholesale price of fossil fuel (used by thermal power plants) up through taxes?


Available
Not available

Transport

EV market

The government has yet to implement any substantive policy support in this sector and the electric vehicle (EV) market remains at an early stage.

EV policy

The government has yet to implement any substantive policy support in this sector and the EV market remains at an early stage.

Transport policies

Electric vehicle target
Electric vehicle purchase grant or loan incentive
VAT incentives for EV
Import tax incentives for EV
EV charging infrastructure target
EV charging infrastructure support

Fuel economy standards

Does the country have a fuel economy standard in place?


Available
Not available

Buildings

Buildings market

The government has yet to implement any substantive policy support in this sector and the low-carbon heat market remains at an early stage.

Energy performance standards

Are there minimum energy performance standards for buildings?


Available
Not available

Energy efficiency plan

Does the country have a national energy efficiency plan?


Available
Not available

Buildings policy

The government has yet to implement any substantive policy support in this sector and the low-carbon heat market remains at an early stage.

Buildings policies

Low-carbon heat target/roadmap
Tax credits
Boiler scrappage schemes
Heat pumps purchase grants/loans incentive
Ban on boilers: new build homes
Ban on boilers: all homes

Additional insights
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