Download report
All markets

Kenya

With a cumulative score of 1.78, Kenya ranks number 16 among emerging markets and number 43 in the global ranking.

  • Emerging markets
  • Middle East & Africa

2.04 / 5

Power score


1.17 / 5

Transport score


 

Buildings score


Only 56 markets (28 emerging markets) are scored on the Buildings sector. See the full list on the methodology page.


Compare

Low-carbon strategy

Net-zero goal and strategy

Kenya has set neither a net-zero emissions goal nor a long-term carbon strategy.

Nationally Determined Contributions (NDC)

Kenya is looking to cut greenhouse gas emissions to 32% below their BAU scenario of 143MtCO2eq in 2030, covering all sectors.

Fossil fuel phase-out policy

There is no fossil fuel phase-out policy in Kenya.

Power

Power policy

Kenya is gradually increasing its non-large hydro renewables by adding solar, wind and geothermal. The government offers a feed-in tariff for these technologies and is planning an auction-based scheme, but only for wind and solar energy. In September 2020, the Energy and Petroleum Regulatory Authority (EPRA) developed the Energy Regulations 2020, along with the associated draft Regulatory Impact Statement, which will operationalize the Energy Act 2019. Auction regulations will be available in 2021. Kenya is discussing a net-metering policy that can help an owner of a renewable power generator of 1MW or less sign up with a distribution licensee or retailer, under to Kenya's proposed Energy Policy and Bill.

Power policies

Renewable energy auction
Feed-in Tariff
Import tax incentives
Net Metering
Renewable energy target
VAT incentives

Power prices and costs

In 2020, while residential prices were up 2%, to $225/MWh, commercial prices saw a 3% increase and industrial prices were flat from 2019. Kenya Power introduced off-peak tariffs for commercial and industrial customers in December 2017, which are applicable during the nighttime, if a customer meets a certain threshold of monthly power consumption. Power prices in Kenya are higher compared to neighboring economies such as Ethiopia, where cheap large hydro is available, and Tanzania, where the government keeps tariffs lower than generation costs.

Loading...

Power market

Clean energy investments in Kenya have been sporadic in the last decade, sustained by a small number of financings for geothermal and wind projects. In 2019, Kenya recorded $728 million of total clean energy investment, a reduction of 42% compared to 2018, of which $401 million was directed to biomass projects. Distributed energy startups such as pay-as-you-go solar companies, microgrid and on-site energy developers received financing from more diverse financiers.

The liberalization of the generation market has seen more than 10 independent power producers cut into KenGen’s market share. The government has also mandated Ketraco to compete with Kenya Power on transmission. In March 2019, the president signed the Energy Bill 2017, which liberalized the electricity retail market on paper. But the market has been so far monopolized by Kenya Power in practice. It would take another year or more to set up detailed regulations. Large hydro and geothermal are the two main sources in Kenya’s generation mix.

Installed Capacity (in MW)

2012201420162018202001K2K3K MW

Electricity Generation (in GWh)

2012201420162018202002K4K6K8K10K12K GWh
Loading...

Utility privatisation

Which segments of the power sector are open to private participation?


Generation
Transmission
Retail

Wholesale power market

Does the country have a wholesale power market?


Available
Not available

Doing business and barriers

Kenya’s peak power demand grew 2% from 2019 to 2020, reaching 1,944 megawatts. It was driven by growing demand from residential customers that could benefit from a subsidized grid connection, and from commercial as well as industrial customers. Kenya has the largest off-grid solar market in Sub-Saharan Africa and is poised to grow further under its National Electrification Strategy launched in December 2018, which aims to attain universal access by 2022.

Land access has been a challenge for both site selection and transmission connection. Developers usually spend two years negotiating to acquire land.

Currency of PPAs

Are PPAs signed in or indexed to U.S. Dollars or Euro?


Available
Not available

Bilateral power contracts

Can a C&I (Commercial and Industrial) customer sign a long-term contract (PPA) for clean energy?


Available
Not available

Bilateral power contracts

Can a C&I (Commercial and Industrial) customer sign a long-term contract (PPA) for clean energy?


Available
Not available

Fossil fuel subsidies

Does the government influence the wholesale price of fossil fuel (used by thermal power plants) down through subsidies?


Available
Not available

Fossil fuel taxes

Does the government influence the wholesale price of fossil fuel (used by thermal power plants) up through taxes?


Available
Not available

Bilateral power contracts

Can a C&I (Commercial and Industrial) customer sign a long-term contract (PPA) for clean energy?


Available
Not available

Transport

EV market

The government has yet to implement any substantive policy support in this sector and the EV market remains at an early stage. The only incentive that Kenya has is the reduction of excise duty on electric vehicles. The Finance Bill of 2019 has proposed a reduction on the excise duty for all vehicles with only an electric motor for propulsion (BEVs) from 20% to 10%.

EV policy

Kenya has a poor infrastructure roadmap, which is an issue for those who want to invest in this sector.

Transport policies

Electric vehicle target
Electric vehicle purchase grant or loan incentive
VAT incentives for EV
Import tax incentives for EV
EV charging infrastructure target
EV charging infrastructure support

Fuel economy standards

Does the country have a fuel economy standard in place?


Available
Not available

Buildings

Buildings market

In 2020, the government published the National Energy Efficiency and Conservation Strategy, which says the government will ensure sustainable exploitation, utilization, management and conservation of the environment and natural resources. This is the document from which the government draws its actions on the improvement of energy efficiency. They expect to reduce the lighting in public buildings by 50%.

Energy performance standards

Are there minimum energy performance standards for buildings?


Available
Not available

Energy efficiency plan

Does the country have a national energy efficiency plan?


Available
Not available

Buildings policy

The government has yet to implement any substantive policy support in this sector and the low-carbon heat market remains at an early stage.

Buildings policies

Low-carbon heat target/roadmap
Tax credits
Boiler scrappage schemes
Heat pumps purchase grants/loans incentive
Ban on boilers: new build homes
Ban on boilers: all homes

Additional insights
from BNEF

Explore more detailed information on global commodity markets and the disruptive technologies driving the transition to a low-carbon economy.

Read more

Powered by

Climatescope 2021

Energy Transition Factbook

This marks the 10th anniversary of Climatescope, BNEF’s annual assessment of energy transition opportunities. For the first time, the project has expanded its scope to include activity not just in clean power but in the decarbonization of the transportation and buildings sectors.

Read the reportSee all reports

Stay up to date

Subscribe to our mailing list to get the latest news about Climatescope directly in your inbox.


Results
Themes
InvestmentPolicyProgress

© 2023 Climatescope. View license and Privacy policy